Books, articles, working papers, and datasets produced before or alongside the grant.
A methodological working paper documenting the coding scheme behind the GovConReD dataset — how attractive and repressive counstering measures are identified, classified, and validated across 1980–2030.
The project's first macro-level empirical paper, testing Objective 1 hypotheses on when governments turn to attractive versus repressive strategies targeting non-state armed actors' constituencies.
The Principal Investigator's book on the non-violent tactics states and armed groups use to win the allegiance of the populations they compete over. Its findings on constituency allegiance directly motivate COUNSTER's triadic framework.
Examines the competing bids of rebel organisations and state authorities over the rights to extract and market natural resources, introducing a framework that categorises resources by their labour dependency. It shows the pivotal role of profit — rather than legitimacy alone — in establishing rebel governance and eliciting state responses, a direct antecedent of COUNSTER's account of how governments and armed actors compete for the same constituency.
Other works published by team members (since the start of the project).